Neurologic Statistical Prognostication and Risk Assessment for Kids on Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation-Neuro SPARK.

This study presents Neuro-SPARK, the first scoring system developed to assess the risk of neurologic injury in pediatric and neonatal patients on extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Using the extracorporeal life support organization (ELSO) registry, we applied robust machine learning methodologies and clinical expertise to a 10 years dataset. We produced separate models for veno-venous (V-V ECMO) and veno-arterial (V-A ECMO) configurations due to their different risk factors and prevalence of neurologic injury. Our models identified 14 predictor variables for V-V ECMO and 20 for V-A ECMO, which demonstrated moderate accuracy in predicting neurologic injury as defined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) (V-V = 0.63, V-A = 0.64) and good calibration as measured by the Brier score (V-V = 0.1, V-A = 0.15). Furthermore, our post-hoc analysis identified high- and low-risk groups that may aid clinicians in targeted neuromonitoring and guide future research on ECMO-associated neurologic injury. Despite the inherent limitations, Neuro-SPARK lays the foundation for a risk-assessment tool for neurologic injury in ECMO patients, with potential implications for improved patient outcomes.

Assessment of the severity of diabetic polyneuropathy aids in predicting the risk of developing diabetic complications in patients with untreated diabetes.

This study aimed to determine the efficacy of assessing the severity of diabetic polyneuropathy (DPN) in patients with untreated diabetes. Seventy-two patients with untreated type 2 diabetes who were hospitalized for glycemic control were enrolled and divided into the following two groups: patients who had no prior diagnosis and patients who were unattended or had discontinued treatment. Electrophysiological criteria consistent with Baba's classification were used to diagnose and assess the severity of DPN. The patients were divided into three subgroups: no DPN (stage 0), mild DPN (stage 1), and moderate or more-severe DPN (stages 2-4). Intergroup comparisons were performed for the clinical characteristics and the results of the nerve conduction studies. Twenty-two (30%), 25 (35%), and 25 (35%) patients were categorized into the no DPN, mild DPN, and moderate or more-severe DPN subgroups, respectively. The number of patients who were unattended or had discontinued treatment in the moderate or more-severe DPN subgroup was significantly higher than that in the no DPN subgroup. The patients in the moderate or more-severe DPN subgroup had an increased risk of developing diabetic retinopathy and nephropathy, with odds ratios of 19.5 and 11.0 for advanced stages of retinopathy and nephropathy, respectively. Thus, the assessment of the severity of DPN could aid in the prediction of the risk of developing diabetic complications in patients with untreated diabetes.

Prospective assessment of the impact of intraoperative diuretics in kidney transplant recipient surgery.

BACKGROUND: The use of intraoperative diuretics, such as furosemide or mannitol, during kidney transplantation has been suggested to reduce the rate of delayed graft function (DGF). The evidence base for this is sparse, however, and there is substantial variation in practice. We sought to evaluate whether the use of intraoperative diuretics during kidney transplantation translated into a reduction in DGF. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study evaluating the use of furosemide or mannitol given intraoperatively before kidney reperfusion compared with control (no diuretic). Adult patients receiving a kidney transplant for end-stage renal disease were allocated to receive furosemide, mannitol, or no diuretic. The primary outcome was DGF; secondary outcomes were graft function at 30 days and perioperative changes in potassium levels. Descriptive and comparative statistics were used where appropriate. RESULTS: A total of 162 patients who received a kidney transplant from a deceased donor (either donation after neurologic determination of death or donation after circulatory death) were included over a 2-year period, with no significant between-group differences. There was no significant difference in DGF rates between the furosemide, mannitol, and control groups. When the furosemide and mannitol groups were pooled (any diuretic use) and compared with the control group, however, there was a significant improvement in the odds that patients would be free of DGF (odds ratio 2.10, 95% confidence interval 1.06-4.16, 26% v. 44%, p = 0.03). There were no significant differences noted in any secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: This study suggests the use of an intraoperative diuretic (furosemide or mannitol) may result in a reduction in DGF in patients undergoing kidney transplantation. Further study in the form of a randomized controlled trial is warranted.

Association between self-reported METs and other perioperative cardiorespiratory fitness assessment tools in abdominal surgery-a prospective cross-sectional correlation study.

Cardiovascular complications represent a significant proportion of adverse events during the perioperative period, necessitating accurate preoperative risk assessment. This study aimed to investigate the association between well-established risk assessment tools and self-reported preoperative physical performance, quantified by metabolic equivalent (MET) equivalents, in high-risk patients scheduled for elective abdominal surgery. A prospective cross-sectional correlation study was conducted, involving 184 patients admitted to a Gastrointestinal Surgery Department. Various risk assessment tools, including the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI), Surgical Mortality Probability Model (S-MPM), American University of Beirut (AUB)-HAS2 Cardiovascular Risk Index, and Surgical Risk Calculator (NSQIP-MICA), were utilized to evaluate perioperative risk. Patients self-reported their physical performance using the MET-REPAIR questionnaire. The findings demonstrated weak or negligible correlations between the risk assessment tools and self-reported MET equivalents (Spearman's ρ = - 0.1 to - 0.3). However, a statistically significant relationship was observed between the ability to ascend two flights of stairs and the risk assessment scores. Good correlations were identified among ASA-PS, S-MPM, NSQIP-MICA, and AUB-HAS2 scores (Spearman's ρ = 0.3-0.8). Although risk assessment tools exhibited limited correlation with self-reported MET equivalents, simple questions regarding physical fitness, such as the ability to climb stairs, showed better associations. A comprehensive preoperative risk assessment should incorporate both objective and subjective measures to enhance accuracy. Further research with larger cohorts is needed to validate these findings and develop a comprehensive screening tool for high-risk patients undergoing elective abdominal surgery.

Risk Factors and Risk Assessment for Post-Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the pertinent risk factors associated with post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis (PEP) and develop a predictive scoring system for assessing the risk of PEP in patients undergoing endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) procedures. STUDY DESIGN: Descriptive study. Place and Duration of the Study: Department of Gastroenterology, Nantong First People's Hospital, Jiangsu, China, from January 2022 to January 2023. METHODOLOGY: Clinical data of 375 patients who underwent successful ERCP treatment were collected and organised. Relevant risk factors for PEP were analysed, and a scoring system was established to predict the risk of PEP. RESULTS: Among the 375 patients who underwent ERCP, the incidence of PEP was 9.07% (34/375). Univariate analysis revealed that female gender, pancreatic duct opacification, difficult cannulation, operation time ≥45 minutes, sphincter of Oddi dysfunction (SOD), and biliary stenting were risk factors for PEP. Multivariate analysis showed that female gender, pancreatic duct opacification, difficult cannulation, operation time ≥45 minutes, and SOD were independent risk factors for PEP. A scoring system was developed, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis determined a cut-off value of 1.5 points. Patients with a score less than 1.5 points had a low probability of developing PEP, while those with a score greater than 1.5 points had a significantly higher probability of PEP. CONCLUSION: Female gender, pancreatic duct opacification, difficult cannulation, operation time ≥45 minutes, and SOD were independent risk factors for PEP. Additionally, a reliable scoring system was established to predict the risk of PEP. Clinicians can use this scoring system to assess the risk of PEP in patients and implement preventive measures to reduce the incidence of PEP. KEY WORDS: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, Post-ERCP pancreatitis, Risk factors, Risk assessment, Preventive measure.

Analysis of the incidence and risk factors of blood transfusion in total knee revision: a retrospective nationwide inpatient sample database study.

OBJECTIVE: This study sought to determine the incidence and risk factors of blood transfusion among patients undergoing total knee revision (TKR) using a nationwide database. METHODS: A retrospective data analysis was conducted based on the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS), enrolling patients who underwent TKR from 2010 to 2019 with complete information. The patients were divided into two groups based on whether they received blood transfusion or not. The demographic characteristics (race, sex, and age), length of stay (LOS), total charge of hospitalization, hospital characteristics (admission type, insurance type, bed size, teaching status, location, and region of hospital), hospital mortality, comorbidities, and perioperative complications were analyzed. Finally, we conducted univariate and multivariate logistic regression to identify factors that were associated with TKR patients to require blood transfusion. RESULTS: The NIS database included 115,072 patients who underwent TKR. Among them, 14,899 patients received blood transfusion, and the incidence of blood transfusion was 13.0%. There was a dramatic decrease in the incidence over the years from 2010 to 2019, dropping from 20.4 to 6.5%. TKR patients requiring transfusions had experienced longer LOS, incurred higher total medical expenses, utilized Medicare more frequently, and had increased in-hospital mortality rates (all P < 0.001). Independent predictors for blood transfusion included advanced age, female gender, iron-deficiency anemia, rheumatoid disease, chronic blood loss anemia, congestive heart failure, coagulopathy, uncomplicated diabetes, lymphoma, fluid and electrolyte disorders, metastatic carcinoma, other neurological diseases, paralysis, peripheral vascular disorders, pulmonary circulation disorders, renal failure, valvular disease, and weight loss. In addition, risk factors for transfusion in TKR surgery included sepsis, acute myocardial infarction, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, gastrointestinal bleeding, heart failure, renal insufficiency, pneumonia, wound infection, lower limb nerve injury, hemorrhage/seroma/hematoma, wound rupture/non healing, urinary tract infection, acute renal failure, and postoperative delirium. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight the importance of recognizing the risk factors of blood transfusion in TKR to reduce the occurrence of adverse events.

The burden of Cardiovascular diseases in Jordan: a longitudinal analysis from the global burden of disease study, 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality worldwide. While countries in the Arab world continue to lack public health data and be severely understudied in health research, previous research has shown that compared to 1990, CVDs had a higher burden of disease in the Arab World in 2010. Jordan, a middle-income Arab country, is profiled with unique attributes such as a dual-sector healthcare system, political stability, and its role as a haven for refugees and migrants. These distinctive factors emphasize Jordan's suitability as a case study. This investigation aims to quantify CVD burden in Jordan and identify risk factors, contributing to a broader understanding of health challenges in the Arab region and beyond. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) dataset was used to estimate prevalence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) as age-standardized rates from 1990 to 2019. We calculated percentage change for nine specific CVDs and reported trends by gender and age groups. Additionally, data on twelve a priori selected behavioral, clinical, and environmental risk factors attributing to overall age-standardized CVDs DALY were reported per 100,00 population. RESULTS: In 2019, the age-standardized CVD prevalence, death, and DALYs rates in Jordan were 7980 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 7629, 8360), 248 (95% UI 211, 288), and 4647 (95% UI 4028, 5388), respectively. Despite an increase in the absolute number of mortality and prevalence, between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardized prevalence, death, and DALYs rates all decreased by 5.5%, 45.1%, and 46.7%, respectively. In 2019, the leading risk factors contributing to overall age-standardized CVDs DALY per 100,000 population were high systolic blood pressure, high BMI, dietary risks, and high LDL cholesterol. CONCLUSION: Despite decreasing burden rate of CVDs in Jordan between 1990 and 2019, CVDs remain the leading cause of mortality in Jordan, with an increase in the total number of prevalence and mortality. Overall, this contributes to increased healthcare costs. Further research is required to quantify the burden of CVDs and understand it better. Intervention measures and policies tailored to specific CVDs should be designed to reduce the burden of CVDs in Jordan.

The Contribution of the Underlying Factors to Socioeconomic Inequalities in Obesity: A Life Course Perspective.

Objectives: Socioeconomic disparities in obesity have been observed in both childhood and adulthood. However, it remains unclear how the role of risk factors influencing these inequalities has evolved over time. Methods: Longitudinal data on 2,866 children and adolescents (6-17 years old) from the China Health and Nutrition Survey were used to track their BMI during childhood, adolescence, and adulthood. Concentration Index was utilized to measure socioeconomic inequalities in obesity, while Oaxaca decomposition was employed to determine the share of different determinants of inequality. Results: The concentration index for obesity during childhood and adulthood were 0.107 (95% CI: 0.023, 0.211) and 0.279 (95% CI: 0.203, 0.355), respectively. Changes in baseline BMI (24.6%), parental BMI (10.4%) and socioeconomic factors (6.7%) were found to be largely responsible for the increasing inequality in obesity between childhood and adulthood. Additionally, mother's education (-7.4%) was found to contribute the most to reducing these inequalities. Conclusion: Inequalities in obesity during childhood and adulthood are significant and growing. Interventions targeting individuals with higher BMI, especially those who are wealthy, can significantly reduce the gap.

Beyond the First Year: Epidemiology and Management of Late-Onset Opportunistic Infections After Kidney Transplantation.

Late opportunistic infections (OI) occurring beyond the first year after kidney transplantation (KT) are poorly described and not targeted by prophylactic strategies. We performed a ten-year retrospective monocentric cohort study describing epidemiology, risk factors and impact of late OI occurring 1 year after KT. We included clinically symptomatic OI requiring treatment besides BK virus nephropathy. Control groups included early OI occurring in the first year after KT, and KT recipients without OI since KT and alive with a functional allograft at 1 year. Among 1066 KT recipients, 185 (19.4%) presented a first episode of OI 21.0 (8.0-45.0) months after KT: 120 late OI (64.9%) and 65 early OI (35.1%). Late OI were mainly viral (N = 83, 69.2%), mostly herpes zoster (HZ) (N = 36, 43.4%). Pneumocystis represented most late fungal infections (N = 12/25, 48%). Compared to early OI, we reported more pneumocystis (p = 0.002) and less invasive aspergillosis (p = 0.01) among late OI. Patients with late OI were significatively younger at KT (54.0 ± 13.3 vs. 60.2 ± 14.3 years, p = 0.05). Patient and allograft survival rates between late OI and control groups were similar. Only age was independently associated with mortality. While late OI were not associated with higher mortality or graft loss, implementing prophylactic strategies might prevent such infections.

Global trends in burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to physical inactivity across 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019.

Background: To promote a comprehensive understanding of global trends and burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to physical inactivity. Methods: We utilized data regarding mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), as well as age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and DALYs rates (ASDR) derived from the global burden of disease study 2019 to evaluate the impact of physical inactivity on the prevalence of type 2 diabetes in 204 countries and territories over the period from 1990 to 2019. This method facilitated the analysis of the diabetes burden across different ages, genders, and regions. To determine the long-term progression of type 2 diabetes prevalence, we computed the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in burden rates. Results: Globally, the number of deaths and DALYs from type 2 diabetes due to physical inactivity more than doubled between 1990 and 2019. Concurrently, there was an increase in the ASMR and ASDR, with EAPC of 0.26 (95% CI: 0.13-0.39) and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.78-0.89), respectively. As of 2019, the global ASMR and ASDR for physical inactivity stood at 1.6 (95% UI: 0.8-2.7) per 100 000 and 55.9 (95% UI: 27.2-97.6) per 100 000, respectively. Notable disparities were observed in the type 2 diabetes burden associated with physical inactivity worldwide, with higher sociodemographic index (SDI) countries experiencing lower ASDR and ASMR compared to lower SDI countries. Initially, females exhibited higher ASMR and ASDR than males, but this gender disparity in ASMR and ASDR has lessened in recent years. The mortality and DALYs rates associated with physical inactivity exhibit an inverted V-shaped pattern across various age groups, predominantly affecting the elderly population. Conclusion: Between 1990 and 2019, there was a marked rise in the worldwide burden of type 2 diabetes associated with physical inactivity, underscoring the role of physical inactivity as a key changeable risk factor in the global landscape of this disease. This necessitates additional research to explore the variables contributing to the varying levels of disease burden across different countries and between sexes. Furthermore, it calls for the formulation of public health policies aimed at guiding prevention tactics, promoting early detection, and enhancing the management of type 2 diabetes.

Challenges of fracture risk assessment in Asian and Black women.

OBJECTIVES: Bone mineral density (BMD) and fracture risk calculators (eg, the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool [FRAX]) guide primary prevention care in postmenopausal women. BMD scores use non-Hispanic White (NHW) reference data for T-score classification, whereas FRAX incorporates BMD, clinical risk factors, and population differences when calculating risk. This study compares findings among Asian, Black, and NHW women who underwent osteoporosis screening in a US health care system. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cross-sectional study. METHODS: Asian, Black, and NHW women aged 65 to 75 years who underwent BMD testing (with no recent fracture, osteoporosis therapy, metastatic cancer, multiple myeloma, metabolic bone disorders, or kidney replacement therapy) were compared across the following measures: femoral neck BMD (FN-BMD) T-score (normal ≥ -1, osteoporosis ≤ -2.5), high FRAX 10-year hip fracture risk (FRAX-Hip ≥ 3%), FRAX risk factors, and diabetes status. RESULTS: Among 3640 Asian women, 23.8% had osteoporosis and 8.7% had FRAX-Hip scores of at least 3% (34.5% among those with osteoporosis). Among 11,711 NHW women, 12.3% had osteoporosis and 17.2% had FRAX-Hip scores of at least 3% (84.8% among those with osteoporosis). Among 1711 Black women, 68.1% had normal FN-BMD, 4.1% had BMD-defined osteoporosis, and 1.8% had FRAX-Hip scores of at least 3% (32.4% among those with osteoporosis). Fracture risk factors differed by group. Diabetes was 2-fold more prevalent in Black and Asian (35% and 36%, respectively) vs NHW (16%) women. CONCLUSIONS: A large subset of Asian women have discordant BMD and FRAX scores, presenting challenges in osteoporosis management. Furthermore, FN-BMD and especially FRAX scores identified few Black women at high fracture risk warranting treatment. Studies should examine whether fracture risk assessment can be optimized in understudied racial minority populations, particularly when findings are discordant.

Factors associated with pediatric trauma patients leaving against medical advice.

BACKGROUND: Discharge against medical advice (AMA) leads to worse patient outcomes, increased readmission rates, and higher cost. However, AMA discharge has received limited study, particularly in pediatric trauma patients. Our objective was to explore the risk factors associated with leaving AMA in pediatric trauma patients. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis on pediatric trauma patients from 2017 to 2019 using the National Trauma Data Bank. We examined patient characteristics including age (<18 years), race, sex, Glasgow Coma Scale, trauma type, primary payment methods, and Abbreviated Injury Scale. Multiple Logistic Regression models were utilized to determine characteristics associated with leaving AMA. RESULTS: Of the 224,196 pediatric patients included in the study, 238 left AMA (0.1%). Our study showed black pediatric trauma patients were more likely to leave AMA compared to nonblack patients (OR 1.987, 95% CI 1.501 to 2.631). Patients with self-pay coverage were more likely to leave AMA than those with other insurance coverages (OR 1.759, 95% CI 1.183 to 2.614). Blunt trauma patients were more likely to leave AMA than those with penetrating trauma (OR 1.683, 95% CI 1.216 to 2.330). Every one-year increase in age led to 15% increase in odds of AMA discharge (OR 1.150, 95% CI 1.115 to 1.186). Pediatric patients with severe abdominal injuries were less likely to leave AMA compared to those with mild abdominal injuries (OR 0.271, 95% CI 0.111 to 0.657). Patients with severe lower extremity injury were less likely to leave AMA compared to those with mild lower extremity injuries (OR 0.258, 95% CI 0.127 to 0.522). CONCLUSION: Race, insurance, injury type, and age play a role in AMA discharge of pediatric trauma patients. Black pediatric trauma patients have ∼ double the AMA discharge rate of nonblack patients. AMA discharge remains relevant, and addressing racial and socioeconomic factors provide opportunities for future interventions in pediatric trauma care. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III, retrospective study.

Bias correction models for electronic health records data in the presence of non-random sampling.

Electronic health records (EHRs) contain rich clinical information for millions of patients and are increasingly used for public health research. However, non-random inclusion of subjects in EHRs can result in selection bias, with factors such as demographics, socioeconomic status, healthcare referral patterns, and underlying health status playing a role. While this issue has been well documented, little work has been done to develop or apply bias-correction methods, often due to the fact that most of these factors are unavailable in EHRs. To address this gap, we propose a series of Heckman type bias correction methods by incorporating social determinants of health selection covariates to model the EHR non-random sampling probability. Through simulations under various settings, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method in correcting biases in both the association coefficient and the outcome mean. Our method augments the utility of EHRs for public health inferences, as we show by estimating the prevalence of cardiovascular disease and its correlation with risk factors in the New York City network of EHRs.

Machine learning-enabled maternal risk assessment for women with pre-eclampsia (the PIERS-ML model): a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Affecting 2-4% of pregnancies, pre-eclampsia is a leading cause of maternal death and morbidity worldwide. Using routinely available data, we aimed to develop and validate a novel machine learning-based and clinical setting-responsive time-of-disease model to rule out and rule in adverse maternal outcomes in women presenting with pre-eclampsia. METHODS: We used health system, demographic, and clinical data from the day of first assessment with pre-eclampsia to predict a Delphi-derived composite outcome of maternal mortality or severe morbidity within 2 days. Machine learning methods, multiple imputation, and ten-fold cross-validation were used to fit models on a development dataset (75% of combined published data of 8843 patients from 11 low-income, middle-income, and high-income countries). Validation was undertaken on the unseen 25%, and an additional external validation was performed in 2901 inpatient women admitted with pre-eclampsia to two hospitals in south-east England. Predictive risk accuracy was determined by area-under-the-receiver-operator characteristic (AUROC), and risk categories were data-driven and defined by negative (-LR) and positive (+LR) likelihood ratios. FINDINGS: Of 8843 participants, 590 (6·7%) developed the composite adverse maternal outcome within 2 days, 813 (9·2%) within 7 days, and 1083 (12·2%) at any time. An 18-variable random forest-based prediction model, PIERS-ML, was accurate (AUROC 0·80 [95% CI 0·76-0·84] vs the currently used logistic regression model, fullPIERS: AUROC 0·68 [0·63-0·74]) and categorised women into very low risk (-LR <0·1; eight [0·7%] of 1103 women), low risk (-LR 0·1 to 0·2; 321 [29·1%] women), moderate risk (-LR >0·2 and +LR <5·0; 676 [61·3%] women), high risk (+LR 5·0 to 10·0, 87 [7·9%] women), and very high risk (+LR >10·0; 11 [1·0%] women). Adverse maternal event rates were 0% for very low risk, 2% for low risk, 5% for moderate risk, 26% for high risk, and 91% for very high risk within 48 h. The 2901 women in the external validation dataset were accurately classified as being at very low risk (0% with outcomes), low risk (1%), moderate risk (4%), high risk (33%), or very high risk (67%). INTERPRETATION: The PIERS-ML model improves identification of women with pre-eclampsia who are at lowest and greatest risk of severe adverse maternal outcomes within 2 days of assessment, and can support provision of accurate guidance to women, their families, and their maternity care providers. FUNDING: University of Strathclyde Diversity in Data Linkage Centre for Doctoral Training, the Fetal Medicine Foundation, The Canadian Institutes of Health Research, and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Comparative examination of breast cancer burden in sub-Saharan Africa, 1990-2019: estimates from Global Burden of Disease 2019 study.

OBJECTIVES: In view of the widening gap in survival data between high-income and low-income countries, this study aimed to evaluate the most up-to-date burden of female breast cancer and analyse the leading risk factors in countries and regions in sub-Saharan Africa. DESIGN: An analysis of Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data. SETTING: The data of incidences, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and age-standardised rates (ASR) were retrieved from GBD Results Tool (1 January 1990─31 December 2019) covering 4 sub-Saharan African regions and 44 countries. The burden estimable to the risk factors of breast cancer was also estimated. All estimates were presented as counts and ASR per 100 000 population. PARTICIPANTS: Participants included patients with female breast cancer. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Absolute numbers and ASR/estimates of incidence, deaths and DALY of female breast cancer by location in 1990 and 2019, with their percentage changes from 1990 to 2019. The leading risk factors (eg, alcohol consumption) of breast cancer in sub-Saharan Africa. RESULTS: In sub-Saharan Africa, the incidences of breast cancer increased by 247% in 2019 from 1990, with the highest incidence recorded in Nigeria. The deaths and DALYs of breast cancer increased by 184% and 178%, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the mortality ASR and DALY ASR increased throughout the region, mostly in Equatorial and Gabon. With varying trends between countries, alcohol consumption and high fasting plasma glucose were noted to be significant contributors to breast cancer deaths between 1990 and 2019. CONCLUSION: The results show the increasing burden of breast cancer in sub-Saharan Africa and provide valuable information on the trends of breast cancer and the risk factors attributable to breast cancer across sociodemographic index, region and country. These findings may inform health policies and improve the rational allocation of health resources.

Scoring systems, expert assessment, and identification of risk factors for the emergence of delirium in paediatric patients: Prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Emergence delirium (ED) is a transient irritative and dissociative state that arises after the cessation of anaesthesia in patients who do not respond to calming measures. There are many risk factors for ED, but the exact cause and underlying mechanism have not been determined because the definition of ED is still unclear in consensus. This study aims to determine ED incidence, identify ED risk factors and external validation of Watcha, Cravero and expert assessment to Pediatric Anesthesia Emergence Delirium (PAED) scoring system in ED prediction. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study is a prospective cohort study on 79 paediatrics who underwent elective surgery with general anaesthesia. Parameter measures include the incidence of ED, ED risk factors, and the relationship between PAED, Watcha, Cravero score and expert assessment. The ED risk factor was analysed using univariate and multivariate analysis. The relationship between PAED, Watcha, Cravero score, and expert assessment was determined using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: The incidence of ED was 22.8%. All parameters examined in this study showed p < 0.05. Watcha's scoring correlates with the PAED scoring and shows the highest discrimination ability with AUC 0.741 and p < 0.05. CONCLUSION: The incidence of ED in paediatrics is relatively high. Compared to others, Watcha score are more reliable for ED prediction. However, some demographic and perioperative factors are not the risk factor of ED.

Implementation of the Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) in surgical patients to decrease postsurgical venous thromboembolism and enoxaparin prescription at hospital discharge.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE), including deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE), has been an increasingly common post-surgical complication for surgical patients. In the United States, VTE has become a leading cause of preventable hospital death with more than half occurring after discharge and are directly linked to a recent (within 30 days) hospitalization or surgery [1]. In large, hospital-associated/acquired VTE (HA-VTE) are preventable through measures such as the use of risk stratification tools and chemoprophylaxis. The project institution, a community, academic, medical center, for multiple years has consistently remained a high outlier for postoperative VTE. Also, the choice of VTE chemoprophylaxis in surgical patients at the time of discharge depended on, and varied between, the individual prescribing physician. The goal was to implement and determine the efficacy of a standardized intervention tool, the Caprini risk assessment model (RAM), for reducing postoperative VTE complications and its influence on the physician's prescription of enoxaparin at discharge. Results: Risk assessment scoring pre-operatively increased from 0% baseline to 26.3% at Plan-Do-Study-Act (PDSA) cycle 1 and demonstrated a statistically significant change (p-value = 0.006). Risk assessment scoring pre-operatively was 42.9% by PDSA cycle 2 but was not statistically significantly different from PDSA cycle 1. Risk assessment scoring post-operatively (for eligible patients) remained the same throughout all three cycles at 0%. Appropriate prescription of anticoagulation declined from baseline (12.5%) to PDSA cycle 1 (0%), and improved at PDSA cycle 2 (33.3%), however no differences were significant (p-value 0.302). The National Surgical Quality Improvement Project (NSQIP) database showed a decline in VTE occurrences at the projects institution from baseline (1.02%, 6 occurrences, 2021) to PDSA cycle 2 (0.92%, 4 occurrences, 2022) when compared to the national benchmark (1.0%) for the first time since 2018. Given the significant national problem HA-VTE pose to the public, and the rise in occurrences, this quality improvement (QI) project is clinically relevant.

Causal Mediation of Neighborhood-Level Pediatric Hospitalization Inequities.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Population-wide racial inequities in child health outcomes are well documented. Less is known about causal pathways linking inequities and social, economic, and environmental exposures. Here, we sought to estimate the total inequities in population-level hospitalization rates and determine how much is mediated by place-based exposures and community characteristics. METHODS: We employed a population-wide, neighborhood-level study that included youth <18 years hospitalized between July 1, 2016 and June 30, 2022. We defined a causal directed acyclic graph a priori to estimate the mediating pathways by which marginalized population composition causes census tract-level hospitalization rates. We used negative binomial regression models to estimate hospitalization rate inequities and how much of these inequities were mediated indirectly through place-based social, economic, and environmental exposures. RESULTS: We analyzed 50 719 hospitalizations experienced by 28 390 patients. We calculated census tract-level hospitalization rates per 1000 children, which ranged from 10.9 to 143.0 (median 45.1; interquartile range 34.5 to 60.1) across included tracts. For every 10% increase in the marginalized population, the tract-level hospitalization rate increased by 6.2% (95% confidence interval: 4.5 to 8.0). After adjustment for tract-level community material deprivation, crime risk, English usage, housing tenure, family composition, hospital access, greenspace, traffic-related air pollution, and housing conditions, no inequity remained (0.2%, 95% confidence interval: -2.2 to 2.7). Results differed when considering subsets of asthma, type 1 diabetes, sickle cell anemia, and psychiatric disorders. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide additional evidence supporting structural racism as a significant root cause of inequities in child health outcomes, including outcomes at the population level.